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pinnacle dropping odds / drop percentage / alert threshold

Pinnacle dropping odds calculator

A price move, measured the way the alert feed measures itexample: the documented drop

was 2.37now 2.25

Price fell from 2.37 to 2.25, a 5.06% drop.

Drop
5.06%(before − after) / before
Implied chance
44.4%was 42.2%
Shift
+2.25 ptspercentage points toward this side
Alert
Fires at min_drop=5you set it on the stream; the floor is 1

This is the arithmetic. The alerts are the timing: Drop alerts, Alerts + scanning and Full volume send every Pinnacle drop past your threshold, with the fair price attached.

See alert plans

The drop streams, from the feed's documentation.

SettingValue
Live stream/odds-drop
Prematch stream/odds-drop-prematch
min_dropSet per connection: 1 at the lowest, 5 in the documented example
Sport filterNone on the stream; filter on sport or sport_id
Stable prematch dropsrecheck=N on the prematch stream holds each drop N seconds and sends it only if the price has not bounced back
Polling insteadGET /api/drops with min_drop_pct, sport_id, max_age_sec
PlansDrop alerts $99, Alerts + scanning $149, Full volume $229 a month

Measured the same way as the Pinnacle odds API alerts

The Pinnacle odds API drop feed measures a drop as the fall divided by the old price: 2.37 to 2.25 is 0.12 of 2.37, or 5.06%, the exact drop_pct in the documented drops example. The calculator uses the same formula, so a threshold you test here behaves the same way in the stream.

A 5% drop on a 1.50 favourite and on a 5.00 outsider are different events. The probability shift shows how much the market's view of that side actually changed.

  • It is informationA falling Pinnacle price usually means money the book respects has arrived on that side.
  • Other books followMany bookmakers move after Pinnacle does. The gap between the two moves is where steam bettors work.
  • Judge by fair, not by the dropHold your bookmaker's price against the new fair price, the alert's nvp. A big drop that leaves your book below fair is not a bet.

Why a Pinnacle drop is worth an alert

Most price moves are noise. A move at the book that takes the sharpest money is the one other books tend to copy, which is why bettors watch Pinnacle's line rather than everyone's.

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2.37 to 2.25 · drop 5.06% · implied +2.25 pts

See the next drop when it happens, not after your bookmaker has caught up